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Eurovision Betting Odds
Sweden Emerges as Clear Favorite to Win Eurovision 2025
This Saturday, the glittering spectacle of Eurovision 2025 takes center stage in Basel, Sweden has firmly established itself as the bookmakers’ favorite to claim victory. The Nordic nation’s representative, KAJ, with their catchy entry “Bara Bada Bastu,” is currently commanding odds of around 2.00 across major betting platforms, reflecting a 40% chance of bringing home Sweden’s historic eighth Eurovision title.
As anticipation builds toward the grand final on May 17, 2025, the betting landscape offers fascinating insights into how the competition might unfold. Austria’s JJ with “Wasted Love” remains Sweden’s closest challenger, while the United Kingdom’s Remember Monday is predicted to secure a respectable mid-table finish.
Betting Odds for Eurovision 2025
The betting odds paint a clear picture of Sweden’s dominance in this year’s competition. KAJ’s “Bara Bada Bastu” has maintained consistent odds between 1.83 and 2.10 across major bookmakers, including Betsson, Unibet, and Bet365. This would mark Sweden’s eighth Eurovision victory, further cementing their status as the competition’s most successful nation following Loreen’s triumph in 2023.
Austria’s JJ has emerged as the most likely challenger, with “Wasted Love” attracting odds between 3.25 and 4.90, translating to roughly a 22% chance of victory. The significant gap between first and second place suggests bookmakers see this as primarily a two-horse race, with Sweden holding a considerable advantage.
France’s Louane with “Maman” and the Netherlands’ Claude performing “C’est La Vie” are battling for third position, both hovering around 7% winning probability according to current odds. Finland’s Erika Vikman with “Ich Komme” rounds out the top five, though at considerably longer odds of around 20/1.
For British Eurovision fans, there’s cautious optimism as Remember Monday’s “What The Hell Just Happened?” is currently predicted to secure 13th place – a respectable showing compared to some of the UK’s recent performances. Their odds of winning outright have lengthened to around 80/1, suggesting bookmakers view a victory as unlikely but not impossible.
Host nation Switzerland continues to perform strongly in the betting markets, currently sitting in eighth place with Zoë Më’s “Voyage.” With odds ranging from 23 to 41, a top-ten finish for the hosts appears well within reach. This would represent a solid performance following their victory last year.
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The qualification picture remains intriguing, with Czechia, Latvia, Serbia, Ireland, and Armenia all battling for the final qualifying spots. Denmark’s position looks increasingly precarious, having slipped to 14th place with qualification odds between 2.38 and 2.80.
“The betting markets often provide reliable indicators of Eurovision outcomes,” explains Maria Santos, Eurovision analyst at Manila Music Monitor. “While surprises can and do happen, the consistency of Sweden’s position across all bookmakers suggests KAJ is the performer to beat this year.”
Wrapping Up
As the countdown to Basel continues, the betting odds will undoubtedly fluctuate in response to rehearsals, promotional appearances, and shifting public sentiment. While Sweden currently enjoys favorite status, Eurovision’s unpredictable nature means nothing is certain until the final vote is cast.
What remains clear is that Eurovision 2025 promises to deliver its trademark blend of musical diversity, cultural expression, and friendly competition when the grand final lights up our screens on May 17. Whether Sweden secures its record-extending eighth victory or a dark horse emerges to claim the crown, millions of viewers across the globe will be watching as Europe’s most beloved music competition unfolds.
